Global Scenarios for the Century Ahead: Searching for Sustainability
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چکیده
منابع مشابه
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iv 1. THE CHALLENGE 1 1.1. The Human Predicament 1 1.2. The Sustainability Notion 2 1.3. The Policy Context 3 2. THE SCENARIO APPROACH 5 2.1. Objectives 5 2.2. System Perspectives and Scenario Criteria 5 2.3. Global Scenarios in Historical Perspective 7 2.4. Methodological Elements 7 3. SCENARIO OVERVIEW 11 4. CRITICAL TRENDS 17 4.1. Population Growth 17 4.2. Economic Growth 18 4.3. Technologic...
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In 1972, the Club of Rome’s infamous report “The Limits to Growth” (Meadows et al., 1972) presented some challenging scenarios for global sustainability, based on a system dynamics computer model to simulate the interactions of five global economic subsystems, namely: population, food production, industrial production, pollution, and consumption of non-renewable natural resources. Contrary to p...
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